Premier League
Premier League England
05.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Newcastle

England Futbol
Everton
Everton
0 : 0
Finished
Newcastle
Newcastle

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Newcastle 5 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.80 / X 3.77 / 2 2.00
  • 1X2 market: Everton 25.6% / X 25.8% / Newcastle 48.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 25.6%
X 25.8%
2 48.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 56.2%
Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Everton - Newcastle

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.77 market consensus · line only
1 3.80 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.89 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.80 26.3%
Х 3.77 26.5%
П2 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.89 52.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.72 58.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.21 45.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.82 35.5%
П2 1.47 68.0%
Match center
Everton
W D L
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 Leicester
14.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.7 Conceded
4 Points
Newcastle
D L W W
28.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:3 FulhamFulham
15.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:1 WolvesWolves
01.09 12:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Newcastle

Everton
0 matches total
Newcastle
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history