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Premier League
Premier League England
17.05.2026 14:00 UTC 37 round
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Sunderland

England Football
Everton
Everton
1 : 3
Finished
Sunderland
Sunderland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Sunderland May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Everton.

Line favourite market consensus: Everton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 3.69 / 2 4.19
  • 1X2 market: Everton 51.6% / X 25.8% / Sunderland 22.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 51.6%
X 25.7%
2 22.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 53.0%
Under 2.5 47.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Everton

Main outcome Everton
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 52.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Stadium Khill Dikinson (Liverpul, England), 52 590 zriteley (99% pri vmestimosti 52 888)
Referee Dzhon Bruks (Lester)
Start 17.05.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Everton - Sunderland

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Everton - Sanderlend, 17 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. APL 2025-2026 — Championship England po futbolu, 37 round. Everton - Sanderlend, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:3
Events 16
Statistics 22
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
23' 23' Substitution 1 | O. Alderete | assist/sub out: L. O'Nien Omar Alderete Sunderland
25' 25' Yellow Card | T. Iroegbunam Tim Iroegbunam Everton
43' 43' Normal Goal Everton
47' 47' Yellow Card | J. O'Brien J. O'Brien Everton
59' 59' Normal Goal | B. Brobbey Brian Brobbey Sunderland
60' 60' Substitution 2 | T. Hume | assist/sub out: C. Talbi T. Hume Sunderland
73' 73' Substitution 3 | T. Iroegbunam | assist/sub out: T. George Tim Iroegbunam Everton
73' 73' Substitution 4 | Beto | assist/sub out: T. Barry Beto Everton
Metric Everton Sunderland SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.04 0.76 final
Zablokirovannye udary 2 0 final
Shots off target 4 4 final
Shots on target 4 3 final
Udary vsego 10 7 final
Fouls soversheno 14 9 final
Zheltye kartochki 3 0 final
Offsides 0 1 final
Everton #1 J. Pickford, #9 Beto, #10 I. Ndiaye, #16 V. Mykolenko, #42 Tim Iroegbunam, #5 Michael Keane, #22 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, #37 J. Garner, #6 James Tarkowski, #34 Merlin Röhl, #15 J. O'Brien
Sunderland #9 Brian Brobbey, #10 N. Angulo, #17 Reinildo, #22 Robin Roefs, #27 N. Sadiki, #15 Omar Alderete, #28 E. Le Fée, #34 G. Xhaka, #20 N. Mukiele, #32 T. Hume, #6 Lutsharel Geertruida
Player Team Metric SStats
Brian Brobbey Sunderland football.player.assists 0
Brian Brobbey Sunderland football.player.goals 1
Brian Brobbey Sunderland football.player.minutes_played 77
C. Rigg Sunderland football.player.assists 1
C. Rigg Sunderland football.player.minutes_played 13
C. Talbi Sunderland football.player.assists 0
C. Talbi Sunderland football.player.minutes_played 30
E. Le Fée Sunderland football.player.assists 1
E. Le Fée Sunderland football.player.goals 1
E. Le Fée Sunderland football.player.minutes_played 90
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.19 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 1.84 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.97 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.98 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.81 55.3% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.88 25.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7%
4.10 24.4% 4.37 22.9% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3% 4.45 22.5% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.95 51.3% 2.01 49.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
Over 1.75 1.29 77.5%
Over 2.0 1.36 73.5%
Over 2.25 1.65 60.6%
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 3.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 4.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.80 26.3%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Everton

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Sunderland

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Dzhek Grilish Dzherred Brentueyt Travmirovannye Romeyn Mandl Diskvalifitsirovannye Deniel Ballard CHAMP
Match center
Everton
D D L L D
10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
04.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:3 Manchester CityManchester City
25.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:2 West HamWest Ham
19.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:2 LiverpulLiverpul
11.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:2 BrentfordBrentford
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
3 Points
Sunderland
D D L L W
09.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
02.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 WolvesWolves
24.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:5 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
19.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 3:4 Aston VillaAston Villa
12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Sunderland

Everton
1 matches total
Sunderland
Everton: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Sunderland: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 03.11 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (03.11 20:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

03.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Everton
1:1
Sunderland
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Everton
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Sunderland
Everton Team comparison Sunderland
36 Games 36
13 Wins 12
10 Draws 12
13 Losses 12
46 Scored 37
46 Conceded 46
49 Points 48
86.28 Attacks 87.97
44.17 Dangerous attacks 44.03
0 Big chances 0
11.11 Shots on goal 10.14
3.83 Shots on target 3.36
0.11 Sendoffs 0.08 Goly Merlin Rel Maykl Kin 1:0 43' Brayan Brobbi Entso Le Fe 1 59' Entso Le Fe Kristofer Rigg 1:2 81' Vilson Izidor Khabib Diarra 1:3 90+1' Nakazaniya Tim Ayrogbunam 25' Dzheyk O'Brayen 47' Dzheyms Garner 90+6'

Everton Sanderlend 36 Games 36 13 Wins 12 10 Draws 12 13 Losses 12 46 Scored 37 46 Conceded 46 49 Points 48 86.28 Attacks 87.97 44.17 Dangerous attacks 44.03 0 Big chances 0 11.11 Shots on goal 10.14 3.83 Udary v stvor 3.36 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.42 Uglovye 3.61 1.47 Offsaydy 1.47 10.44 Foly 10.67 43.39 % vladeniya myachom 44.81 1.89 Warnings 2.17 0.11 Sendoffs 0.08 Goly Merlin Rel Maykl Kin 1:0 43' Brayan Brobbi Entso Le Fe 1 59' Entso Le Fe Kristofer Rigg 1:2 81' Vilson Izidor Khabib Diarra 1:3 90+1' Nakazaniya Tim Ayrogbunam 25' Dzheyk O'Brayen 47' Dzheyms Garner 90+6'