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Premier League
Premier League England
18.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Fulham - Arsenal

England Football
Fulham
Fulham
0 : 1
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fulham - Arsenal October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.91 / X 4.25 / 2 1.52
  • 1X2 market: Fulham 14.0% / X 22.7% / Arsenal 63.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 13.9%
X 22.7%
2 63.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 49.9%
Under 2.5 50.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Fulham - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 market consensus · line only
X 4.25 market consensus · line only
1 6.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.60 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
7.48 13.4%
X 4.29 23.3%
1.51 66.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
6.60 15.2% 7.10 14.1% 6.25 16.0% 6.95 14.4% 7.48 13.4% 7.48 13.4%
X 4.35 23.0% 4.34 23.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.25 23.5% 4.29 23.3% 4.29 23.3%
1.52 65.8% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.51 66.2% 1.51 66.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1%
home_away 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.62 38.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.65 37.7% 2.68 37.3% 2.68 37.3% 2.60 38.5%
Match center
Fulham
L L W W L
03.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:3 BournemouthBournemouth
28.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
20.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 3:1 BrentfordBrentford
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 LeedsLeeds
30.08 11:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:2 ChelseaChelsea
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Arsenal
W W D W L
04.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:0 West HamWest Ham
28.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
21.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
13.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 3:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
31.08 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 0:1 LiverpulLiverpul
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFulham - Arsenal

Fulham
1 matches total
Arsenal
Fulham: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Arsenal: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Arsenal 1:2 (01.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 01.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

01.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Fulham
1:2
Arsenal