Premier League
Premier League England
19.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Fulham - Aston Villa

England Futbol
Fulham
Fulham
1 : 3
Finished
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fulham - Aston Villa 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fulham.

Line favourite market consensus: Fulham. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.48 / X 3.46 / 2 2.98
  • 1X2 market: Fulham 39.2% / X 28.1% / Aston Villa 32.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 39.2%
X 28.1%
2 32.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 53.0%
Under 2.5 47.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Fulham - Aston Villa

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.46 market consensus · line only
1 2.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.48 40.3%
Х 3.46 28.9%
П2 2.98 33.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.60 62.5%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 2.5 2.06 48.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.77 56.5%
П2 2.13 47.0%
Match center
Fulham
L W W D
05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:3 Manchester CityManchester City
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 3:1 NyukaslNyukasl
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:1 West HamWest Ham
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Aston Villa
D D W W
06.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 0:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
29.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:2 IpswichIpswich
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 3:1 WolvesWolves
14.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 3:2 EvertonEverton
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFulham - Aston Villa

Fulham
0 matches total
Aston Villa
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history