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Premier League
Premier League England
04.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Fulham - Liverpool

England Football
Fulham
Fulham
2 : 2
Finished
Liverpool
Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fulham - Liverpool January 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.13 / X 3.73 / 2 1.88
  • 1X2 market: Fulham 23.2% / X 25.7% / Liverpool 51.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 23.2%
X 25.7%
2 51.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 51.4%
Under 2.5 48.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Match center

Fulham - Liverpool

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.88 market consensus · line only
X 3.74 market consensus · line only
1 4.14 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.95 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.59 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.28 23.4%
X 3.85 26.0%
1.87 53.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
4.00 25.0% 4.25 23.5% 4.22 23.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.25 23.5% 4.00 25.0%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.81 26.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7%
1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.94 51.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.02 49.5%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.96 51.0% 2.02 49.5%
Match center
Fulham
D W W W L
01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 West HamWest Ham
22.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
13.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 3:2 BurnleyBurnley
07.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Liverpool
D W W W D
01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 0:0 LeedsLeeds
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:1 WolvesWolves
20.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
13.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:0 BrightonBrighton
06.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 3:3 LeedsLeeds
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFulham - Liverpool

Fulham
1 matches total
Liverpool
Fulham: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Liverpool: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Fulham 3:2 (06.04 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 06.04 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham
3:2
Liverpul