Premier League
Premier League England
02.12.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Fulham - Manchester City

England Futbol
Fulham
Fulham
4 : 5
Finished
Manchester City
Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fulham - Manchester City 2 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.82 / X 4.08 / 2 1.69
  • 1X2 market: Fulham 19.9% / X 23.5% / Manchester City 56.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 19.9%
X 23.5%
2 56.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 56.3%
Under 2.5 43.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.12.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Fulham - Manchester City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.69 market consensus · line only
X 4.08 market consensus · line only
1 4.83 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.95 20.2%
Х 4.08 24.5%
П2 1.70 58.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 4.50 22.2% 4.95 20.2% 5.01 20.0% 4.75 21.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.55 22.0%
Х 4.10 24.4% 4.15 24.1% 4.25 23.5% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.25 23.5%
П2 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.17 46.1% 2.11 47.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.23 44.8%
Match center
Fulham
W W L W L
29.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 SunderlandSunderland
08.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:2 EvertonEverton
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 3:0 WolvesWolves
25.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Manchester City
W L W W L
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:2 LeedsLeeds
22.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
09.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 LiverpulLiverpul
02.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:1 BournemouthBournemouth
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFulham - Manchester City

Fulham
2 matches total
Manchester City
Fulham: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester City: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Manchester City 0:2 (25.05 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 05.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 2

Match history

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham
0:2
Manchester City
05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham
2:3
Manchester City