Premier League
Premier League England
24.05.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Fulham - Newcastle

England Futbol
Fulham
Fulham
2 : 0
Finished
Newcastle
Newcastle

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fulham - Newcastle 24 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.69 / 2 2.52
  • 1X2 market: Fulham 36.5% / X 25.7% / Newcastle 37.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 36.5%
X 25.7%
2 37.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 61.8%
Under 2.5 38.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.05.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Fulham - Newcastle

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.27 Fonbet · line only
2 2.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 3.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 2.50 40.0% 2.67 37.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.57 38.9% 2.63 38.0%
Х 3.70 27.0% 3.84 26.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0%
П2 2.50 40.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.57 38.9% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 2.65 37.7% 2.69 37.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.67 37.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.65 37.7% 2.52 39.7%
yes 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.25 1.07 93.5%
ТБ 1.5 1.17 85.5% 1.11 90.1%
ТБ 1.75 1.14 87.7%
ТБ 2.0 1.17 85.5%
ТБ 2.5 1.53 65.4%
ТБ 3.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 4.5 3.95 25.3%
ТБ 5.5 7.50 13.3%
ТМ 0.5 10.00 10.0%
ТМ 1.5 5.00 20.0%
ТМ 2.5 2.45 40.8%
ТМ 3.5 1.60 62.5%
ТМ 4.5 1.25 80.0%
ТМ 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Fulham
D L L W D
17.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:1 WolvesWolves
09.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:1 BournemouthBournemouth
02.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:3 ArsenalArsenal
25.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
18.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:0 BrentfordBrentford
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Newcastle
W D W L L
17.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 3:1 West HamWest Ham
10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
02.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 3:1 BrightonBrighton
25.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 0:1 ArsenalArsenal
18.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:2 BournemouthBournemouth
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFulham - Newcastle

Fulham
2 matches total
Newcastle
Fulham: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Newcastle: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Fulham 3:1 (21.09 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 21.09 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 4

Match history

25.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham
1:2
Nyukasl
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham
3:1
Nyukasl