Premier League
Premier League England
29.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Ipswich - Aston Villa

England Futbol
Ipswich
Ipswich
2 : 2
Finished
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ipswich - Aston Villa 29 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.63 / X 3.62 / 2 2.10
  • 1X2 market: Ipswich 26.8% / X 26.9% / Aston Villa 46.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 26.8%
X 26.9%
2 46.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 53.5%
Under 2.5 46.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Ipswich - Aston Villa

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 market consensus · line only
X 3.62 market consensus · line only
1 3.63 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.33 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.63 27.6%
Х 3.62 27.6%
П2 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.80 55.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.82 55.0%
ТМ 2.5 2.09 47.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.64 37.9%
П2 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Ipswich
D D
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Ipswich 1:1 SouthamptonSouthampton
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Ipswich 0:0 BrightonBrighton
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
2 Points
Aston Villa
W W
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 3:1 WolvesWolves
14.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 3:2 EvertonEverton
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIpswich - Aston Villa

Ipswich
0 matches total
Aston Villa
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history