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Premier League
Premier League Ukraine
04.04.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

Ukraine

Kolos Kovalivka - Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Ukraine Football
Stadium Stadion Kolos
Kolos Kovalivka
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0
Finished
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kolos Kovalivka - Metalist 1925 Kharkiv April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.

Line favourite market consensus: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.08 / X 3.07 / 2 2.40
  • 1X2 market: Kolos Kovalivka 30.4% / X 30.5% / Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 39.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 30.4%
X 30.5%
2 39.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5 36.0%
Under 2.5 64.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Kolos Kovalivka - Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 market consensus · line only
X 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 3.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.54 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.99 market consensus · line only
1 -1 5.83 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.66 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet
3.08 32.5%
X 3.07 32.6%
2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet
no 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet
draw_away 1.34 74.6%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.54 64.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 0.75 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.0 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.25 1.34 74.6%
Over 1.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 1.75 1.68 59.5%
Over 2.0 1.94 51.6%
Over 2.25 2.27 44.1%
Over 2.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 2.75 3.15 31.8%
Over 3.0 4.28 23.4%
Over 3.25 4.70 21.3%
Over 3.5 5.10 19.6%
Over 3.75 6.57 15.2%
Over 4.0 9.65 10.4%
Over 4.5 10.20 9.8%
Under 0.5 6.42 15.6%
Under 0.75 5.70 17.5%