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Premier League
Premier League Ukraine
05.04.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

Ukraine

Kryvbas KR - LNZ Cherkasy

Ukraine Football
Stadium Girnyk
Kryvbas KR
Kryvbas KR
0 : 3
Finished
LNZ Cherkasy
LNZ Cherkasy
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 LNZ Cherkasy — 49%

1 · Kryvbas KR24.1%
X · draw26.8%
2 · LNZ Cherkasy49.1%

Model estimate: win Kryvbas KR 24.1%, draw 26.8%, win LNZ Cherkasy 49.1%. Model favourite — LNZ Cherkasy.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kryvbas KR - LNZ Cherkasy April 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like LNZ Cherkasy.

Strongest: LNZ Cherkasy - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.20 / X 3.20 / 2 2.26
  • 1X2 market: Kryvbas KR 29.3% / X 29.3% / LNZ Cherkasy 41.5%
  • Glicko: Kryvbas KR 24.1% / X 26.8% / LNZ Cherkasy 49.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 12.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 29.3%
X 29.3%
2 41.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5 45.4%
Under 2.5 54.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 2

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 45.1%
Total Under 2.5
Score 0:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2026 10:00 UTC
Stadium Girnyk (Kryvyj Rih)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model LNZ Cherkasy 49%
💹 Market LNZ Cherkasy 4145%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Kryvbas KR - LNZ Cherkasy

Kryvbas KR: Win 4.10 Kryvbas KR: Draw 3.10 LNZ Cherkasy Win: 1.85 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.35 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.57 Individualnyy total golov Kryvbas KR bolshe 0.5: 1.67 Individualnyy total golov Kryvbas KR menshe 0.5: 2.10 Individualnyy total golov…

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:3
Events 12
Statistics 26
Lineups 0
min Event Player Team
55' 55' Normal Goal | D. Kravchuk LNZ Cherkasy
58' 58' Substitution 7 | M. Assinor | assist/sub out: A. Mykytyshyn LNZ Cherkasy
64' 64' Substitution 8 | Y. Tverdokhlib | assist/sub out: D. Kuzyk LNZ Cherkasy
65' 65' Normal Goal | D. Kravchuk LNZ Cherkasy
67' 67' Substitution 2 | B. Lin | assist/sub out: A. Seck Kryvbas KR
67' 67' Substitution 1 | Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych | assist/sub out: O. Kamensky Kryvbas KR
74' 74' Yellow Card | Y. Pastukh LNZ Cherkasy
78' 78' Substitution 7 | Y. Dibango | assist/sub out: A. Bekavac Kryvbas KR
Metric Kryvbas KR LNZ Cherkasy SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.93 1.22 final
Zablokirovannye udary 6 1 final
Shots off target 2 1 final
Shots on target 2 4 final
Udary vsego 10 6 final
Fouls soversheno 5 19 final
Red cards 0 0 final
Zheltye kartochki 0 1 final
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kryvbas KR 29.3% 24.1%
Draw 29.3% 26.8% draw risk
LNZ Cherkasy 41.5% 49.1% market and model agree
xG - 0.92 : 1.43
Total 2.5 Over 12.5% - Under 87.5%
Model check - - Difference 0.08
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Thin market consensus Market vs Glicko gap: 0.08

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 24.1% / 26.8% / 49.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,567 / 1,632 Kryvbas KR / LNZ Cherkasy
RD 84 / 85 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.26 market consensus · weak value +10.9% · model 49.1%
X 3.20 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.20 market consensus · no value · model 24.1%
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 75.9%
12 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 73.2%
1X 1.60 market consensus · no value · model 51.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 -1 5.51 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.29 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.06 market consensus · no value · model 12.5%
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · value +49.6% · model 87.5%
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet
3.20 31.3%
X 3.20 31.3%
2.26 44.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet
no 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet
draw_away 1.32 75.8%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.60 62.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.25 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 1.75 1.43 69.9%
Over 2.0 1.56 64.1%
Over 2.25 1.81 55.3%
Over 2.5 2.06 48.5%
Over 2.75 2.38 42.0%
Over 3.0 2.97 33.7%
Over 3.25 3.32 30.1%
Over 3.5 3.66 27.3%
Over 3.75 4.57 21.9%
Over 4.0 6.37 15.7%
Over 4.25 6.74 14.8%
Over 4.5 7.10 14.1%
Over 5.0 12.70 7.9%
Under 0.5 9.15 10.9%
Match center
Kryvbas KR
Founded 2001
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKryvbas KR - LNZ Cherkasy

Kryvbas KR
0 matches total
LNZ Cherkasy
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.