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Start
27.09.2025 14:00 UTC
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27.09.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Leeds - Bournemouth
2
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Leeds - Bournemouth September 27, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.
Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.96 / X 3.30 / 2 2.47
- 1X2 market: Leeds 32.3% / X 29.0% / Bournemouth 38.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.6%
1
32.3%
X
29.0%
2
38.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5
47.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Leeds - Bournemouth
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.47
market consensus · line only
X
3.30
market consensus · line only
1
2.96
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.41
market consensus · line only
12
1.34
market consensus · line only
1X
1.56
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.43
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.16
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.44
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.92
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.01
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.03
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.75
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.96 33.8% | |
| X | 3.32 30.1% |
| 2.57 38.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.92 34.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.04 32.9% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.88 34.7% | 3.00 33.3% | |
| X | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.54 28.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 2.44 41.0% | 2.49 40.2% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.47 40.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.12 47.2% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.78 56.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.38 72.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.43 69.9% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% |
| home_draw | 1.53 65.4% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% |
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Match center
Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Bournemouth
Leeds
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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