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Premier League
Premier League England
21.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Leeds - Brentford

England Football
Leeds
Leeds
0 : 0
Finished
Brentford
Brentford

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leeds - Brentford March 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leeds.

Line favourite market consensus: Leeds. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.46 / X 3.39 / 2 2.87
  • 1X2 market: Leeds 38.7% / X 28.1% / Brentford 33.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 38.7%
X 28.1%
2 33.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 51.2%
Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Leeds - Brentford

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.87 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 2.47 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.55 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.77 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.51 39.8%
X 3.49 28.7%
2.87 34.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.48 40.3% 2.47 40.5% 2.52 39.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.52 28.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.30 30.3%
2.75 36.4% 2.88 34.7% 2.99 33.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.15 46.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Leeds
D L L D D
15.03 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
03.03 19:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:1 SunderlandSunderland
28.02 17:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:1 Manchester CityManchester City
21.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:2 ChelseaChelsea
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Brentford
D D W L D
16.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:2 WolvesWolves
03.03 19:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:0 BournemouthBournemouth
28.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 4:3 BurnleyBurnley
21.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:2 BrightonBrighton
12.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:1 ArsenalArsenal
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Brentford

Leeds
1 matches total
Brentford
Leeds: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Brentford: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 14.12 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (14.12 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

14.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds
1:1
Brentford