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Premier League
Premier League England
20.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Leeds - Crystal Palace

England Football
Leeds
Leeds
4 : 1
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leeds - Crystal Palace December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leeds.

Line favourite market consensus: Leeds. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.73 / X 3.13 / 2 2.77
  • 1X2 market: Leeds 35.0% / X 30.5% / Crystal Palace 34.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 35.0%
X 30.5%
2 34.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 42.7%
Under 2.5 57.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Leeds - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.77 market consensus · line only
X 3.13 market consensus · line only
1 2.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.47 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.46 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.79 35.8%
X 3.16 31.7%
2.84 35.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.72 36.8% 2.72 36.8% 2.78 36.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.23 31.0% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.72 36.8% 2.79 35.8% 2.89 34.6% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.51 66.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0%
Match center
Leeds
D D W L L
14.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:1 BrentfordBrentford
06.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:3 LiverpulLiverpul
03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:1 ChelseaChelsea
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:3 Manchester CityManchester City
23.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
5 Points
Crystal Palace
L W W L W
14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
07.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:1 FulhamFulham
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:0 BurnleyBurnley
30.11 12:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:0 WolvesWolves
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Crystal Palace

Leeds
0 matches total
Crystal Palace
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history