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Premier League England

28.02.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

28.02.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Leeds - Manchester City

England Football

Leeds

0 : 1

Finished

Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leeds - Manchester City February 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.02 / X 4.02 / 2 1.66
1X2 market: Leeds 19.0% / X 23.7% / Manchester City 57.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 19.0%

X 23.7%

2 57.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%

Over 2.5 53.6%

Under 2.5 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.02.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

Leeds - Manchester City

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.66 market consensus · line only

X 4.03 market consensus · line only

1 5.02 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.17 market consensus · line only

12 1.24 market consensus · line only

1X 2.24 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.18 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 4.45 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.02 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	5.12 19.5%
X	4.12 24.3%
	1.68 59.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	4.80 20.8%	5.10 19.6%	5.32 18.8%	4.80 20.8%	4.75 21.1%	5.10 19.6%
X	3.85 26.0%	4.10 24.4%	4.24 23.6%	3.80 26.3%	4.20 23.8%	4.05 24.7%
	1.66 60.2%	1.66 60.2%	1.69 59.2%	1.65 60.6%	1.65 60.6%	1.72 58.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.03 49.3%	2.09 47.9%
yes	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.13 88.5%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.26 79.4%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	2.15 46.5%	2.31 43.3%	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%