Match center
Start
04.01.2026 12:30 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
04.01.2026 12:30 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Leeds - Manchester United
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Leeds - Manchester United January 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.
Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.73 / X 3.31 / 2 2.64
- 1X2 market: Leeds 35.0% / X 28.9% / Manchester United 36.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
35.0%
X
28.8%
2
36.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.8%
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Leeds - Manchester United
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.65
market consensus · line only
X
3.31
market consensus · line only
1
2.74
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.47
market consensus · line only
12
1.34
market consensus · line only
1X
1.50
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.48
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.19
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.59
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.42
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.01
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.06
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.73
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.79 35.8% | |
| X | 3.38 29.6% |
| 2.69 37.2% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.74 36.5% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.81 35.6% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.70 37.0% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 2.60 38.5% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.74 36.5% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.63 38.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.05 48.8% |
| yes | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.44 69.4% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.49 67.1% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_draw | 1.48 67.6% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.51 66.2% |
Match center
Leeds
D
D
W
D
D
01.01 17:30 UTC
Premier League
Leeds
0:0
Liverpul
Liverpul
28.12 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Leeds
1:1
Sunderland
Sunderland
20.12 20:00 UTC
Premier League
Leeds
4:1
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
14.12 16:30 UTC
Premier League
Leeds
1:1
Brentford
Brentford
06.12 17:30 UTC
Premier League
Leeds
3:3
Liverpul
Liverpul
1
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
7
Points
Manchester United
D
W
L
D
W
30.12 20:15 UTC
Premier League
Manchester United
1:1
Wolves
Wolves
26.12 20:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester United
1:0
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
21.12 16:30 UTC
Premier League
Manchester United
1:2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
15.12 20:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester United
4:4
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
08.12 20:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester United
4:1
Wolves
Wolves
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.6
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Manchester United
Leeds
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Leeds - Manchester United breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form