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Premier League England

03.03.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

03.03.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Leeds - Sunderland

England Football

Leeds

0 : 1

Finished

Sunderland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leeds - Sunderland March 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leeds.

Line favourite market consensus: Leeds. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.41 / 2 4.49
1X2 market: Leeds 50.9% / X 27.9% / Sunderland 21.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 50.9%

X 27.9%

2 21.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%

Over 2.5 44.6%

Under 2.5 55.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 03.03.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

Leeds - Sunderland

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.50 market consensus · line only

X 3.42 market consensus · line only

1 1.87 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.93 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.21 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.47 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.20 market consensus · line only

2 +1 8.80 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.82 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.89 52.9%
X	3.50 28.6%
	4.66 21.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.84 54.4%	1.86 53.8%	1.92 52.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.91 52.4%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.50 28.6%	3.56 28.1%	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.45 29.0%
	4.35 23.0%	4.55 22.0%	4.68 21.4%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.70 21.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.88 53.2%
yes	1.95 51.3%	1.97 50.8%	1.93 51.8%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%	1.91 52.4%	1.93 51.8%	1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.91 52.4%	1.98 50.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.83 54.6%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.31 76.3%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.20 83.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.17 85.5%

Match center

Leeds

L D D W L

28.02 17:30 UTC Premier League

Leeds 0:1 Manchester City

21.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 1:1 Aston Villa

10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Leeds 2:2 Chelsea

06.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 3:1 Nottingem Forest

31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 0:4 Arsenal

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.8 Conceded

5 Points

Sunderland

D L L L W

28.02 12:30 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 1:1 Bournemouth

22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 1:3 Fulham

11.02 20:15 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 0:1 Liverpul

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 0:3 Arsenal

02.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 3:0 Burnley

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.6 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Sunderland

Leeds

1 matches total

Sunderland

Leeds: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Sunderland: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 28.12 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (28.12 14:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

28.12 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Leeds

1:1

Sunderland