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Premier League
Premier League England
04.10.2025 11:30 UTC Match prediction
04.10.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Leeds - Tottenham

England Football
Leeds
Leeds
1 : 2
Finished
Tottenham
Tottenham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leeds - Tottenham October 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tottenham.

Line favourite market consensus: Tottenham. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.69 / X 3.36 / 2 2.61
  • 1X2 market: Leeds 35.3% / X 28.3% / Tottenham 36.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 35.3%
X 28.3%
2 36.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 49.7%
Under 2.5 50.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Leeds - Tottenham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.61 market consensus · line only
X 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 2.69 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.47 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.76 36.2%
X 3.43 29.2%
2.68 37.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.68 37.3% 2.70 37.0% 2.79 35.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.67 37.5%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4%
2.60 38.5% 2.66 37.6% 2.66 37.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.18 45.9%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Leeds
D W L D L
27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:2 BournemouthBournemouth
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:1 WolvesWolves
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:1 FulhamFulham
30.08 16:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:0 NyukaslNyukasl
23.08 16:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:5 ArsenalArsenal
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Tottenham
D D W L W
27.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:1 WolvesWolves
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:2 BrightonBrighton
13.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 3:0 West HamWest Ham
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:1 BournemouthBournemouth
23.08 11:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:0 Manchester CityManchester City
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Tottenham

Leeds
0 matches total
Tottenham
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history