Premier League
Premier League England
05.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Leicester - Bournemouth

England Futbol
Leicester
Leicester
1 : 0
Finished
Bournemouth
Bournemouth

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leicester - Bournemouth 5 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.

Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.69 / X 3.80 / 2 2.02
  • 1X2 market: Leicester 26.3% / X 25.6% / Bournemouth 48.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 26.3%
X 25.6%
2 48.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 58.9%
Under 2.5 41.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Leicester - Bournemouth

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.02 market consensus · line only
X 3.80 market consensus · line only
1 3.69 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.69 27.1%
Х 3.80 26.3%
П2 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.32 75.8%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.87 53.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.65 60.6%
ТМ 2.5 2.36 42.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.74 36.5%
П2 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Leicester
L D D
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leicester 2:4 ArsenalArsenal
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leicester 1:1 EvertonEverton
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leicester 2:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
0 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.3 Conceded
2 Points
Bournemouth
W L L
30.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 3:1 SouthamptonSouthampton
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:3 LiverpulLiverpul
14.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:1 ChelseaChelsea
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeicester - Bournemouth

Leicester
0 matches total
Bournemouth
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history