Premier League
Premier League England
03.05.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Leicester - Southampton

England Futbol
Leicester
Leicester
2 : 0
Finished
Southampton
Southampton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leicester - Southampton 3 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leicester.

Line favourite market consensus: Leicester. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.56 / X 3.53 / 2 2.84
  • 1X2 market: Leicester 38.1% / X 27.6% / Southampton 34.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.6%
1 38.1%
X 27.6%
2 34.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 53.5%
Under 2.5 46.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.05.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Leicester - Southampton

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.53 market consensus · line only
1 2.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.56 39.1%
Х 3.53 28.3%
П2 2.84 35.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.56 64.1%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.48 67.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.81 55.3%
ТМ 2.5 2.08 48.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.83 54.6%
П2 2.05 48.8%
Match center
Leicester
L L D L L
26.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leicester 0:3 WolvesWolves
20.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Leicester 0:1 LiverpulLiverpul
12.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leicester 2:2 BrightonBrighton
07.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Leicester 0:3 NyukaslNyukasl
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Leicester 0:2 Manchester CityManchester City
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
1 Points
Southampton
L D L L D
26.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 1:2 FulhamFulham
19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 1:1 West HamWest Ham
12.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 0:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 1:3 TottenkhemTottenkhem
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Southampton 1:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeicester - Southampton

Leicester
1 matches total
Southampton
Leicester: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Southampton: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Leicester 3:2 (19.10 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 19.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leicester
3:2
Southampton