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Start
01.11.2025 20:00 UTC
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01.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Liverpool - Aston Villa
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Liverpool - Aston Villa November 1, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.
Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 4.37 / 2 4.79
- 1X2 market: Liverpool 57.9% / X 22.0% / Aston Villa 20.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 62.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.0%
1
57.9%
X
22.0%
2
20.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5
63.0%
Under 2.5
37.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Liverpool - Aston Villa
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.80
market consensus · line only
X
4.38
market consensus · line only
1
1.66
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.30
market consensus · line only
12
1.23
market consensus · line only
1X
1.20
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.28
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.79
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.15
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.60
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.49
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.54
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.42
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.54
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.66 60.2% | |
| X | 4.47 22.4% |
| 4.81 20.8% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.66 60.2% | |
| X | 4.40 22.7% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.47 22.4% | 4.47 22.4% |
| 4.85 20.6% | 5.03 19.9% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.95 20.2% | 4.81 20.8% | 4.81 20.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.52 39.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.46 40.7% | 2.40 41.7% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.53 65.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.29 43.7% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.25 44.4% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.21 82.6% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% |
Match center
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W
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Everton
Everton
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
1.4
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Aston Villa
W
W
W
W
D
26.10 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Aston Villa
1:0
Manchester City
Manchester City
19.10 13:00 UTC
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Aston Villa
2:1
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
05.10 13:00 UTC
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Aston Villa
2:1
Burnley
Burnley
28.09 13:00 UTC
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Aston Villa
3:1
Fulham
Fulham
21.09 13:00 UTC
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Aston Villa
1:1
Sunderland
Sunderland
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Aston Villa
Liverpool
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form