Premier League
Premier League England
20.10.2024 15:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Liverpool - Chelsea

England Futbol
Liverpool
Liverpool
2 : 1
Finished
Chelsea
Chelsea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Chelsea 20 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.72 / X 4.40 / 2 4.55
  • 1X2 market: Liverpool 56.5% / X 22.1% / Chelsea 21.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 56.5%
X 22.1%
2 21.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2024 15:30 UTC
Match center

Liverpool - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.55 market consensus · line only
X 4.40 market consensus · line only
1 1.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.72 58.1%
Х 4.40 22.7%
П2 4.55 22.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.21 45.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.24 80.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.06 48.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.85 54.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.34 74.6%
П2 3.50 28.6%
Match center
Liverpool
W W W L W
05.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
28.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:1 WolvesWolves
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 3:0 BournemouthBournemouth
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 0:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
01.09 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 3:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Chelsea
D W W W D
06.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 4:2 BrightonBrighton
21.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 3:0 West HamWest Ham
14.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:0 BournemouthBournemouth
01.09 12:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Chelsea

Liverpool
0 matches total
Chelsea
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history