Premier League England

25.04.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction Prediction

25.04.2026 14:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Liverpool - Crystal Palace

England Futbol

Stadium Энфилд

Liverpool

3 : 1

Finished

Crystal Palace

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Liverpool — 64%

1 · Liverpool ✓ Прогноз64.2%

market65%

X · draw21.4%

market20%

2 · Crystal Palace14.4%

market15%

Model estimate: win Liverpool 64.2%, draw 21.4%, win Crystal Palace 14.4%. Model favourite — Liverpool.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Crystal Palace 25 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Strongest: Liverpool - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / X 4.74 / 2 6.28
1X2 market: Liverpool 65.0% / X 20.0% / Crystal Palace 15.1%
Glicko: Liverpool 64.2% / X 21.4% / Crystal Palace 14.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 36.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%

1 ✓ Прогноз 65.1%

X 19.9%

2 15.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%

Over 2.5 60.3%

Under 2.5 39.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1

Agreement 5/6

Confidence 65.2%

Total ТМ 2.5

Score 1:0

Модели не полностью совпадают, поэтому прогноз нужно сверять с рынком и линией.

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Match center

Start 25.04.2026 14:00 UTC

Stadium Энфилд (Ливерпуль)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Liverpool 64%

💹 Market Liverpool 6498%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Liverpool - Crystal Palace

Liverpool: Победа 1.44 Liverpool: Ничья 5.00 Crystal Palace Победа: 6.25 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 1.57 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 2.38 Индивидуальный тотал голов Liverpool больше 2.5: 2.50 Индивидуальный тотал голов Liverpool меньше 2.5: 1.50 Индивидуальный тотал голов C…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 3:1

Events 16

Statistics 24

Lineups 40

min Event Player Team

19' 19' Yellow Card | D. Munoz Cabral F / Salisbury J Crystal Palace

24' 24' Penalty cancelled | Mohamed Salah F. Lejeune Liverpool

32' 32' Yellow Card | D. Henderson Paulina Maier Crystal Palace

35' 35' Normal Goal | A. Isak | assist/sub out: A. Mac Allister P. Sy Liverpool

40' 40' Normal Goal | A. Robertson | assist/sub out: C. Jones Liverpool

46' 46' Substitution 1 | T. Mitchell | assist/sub out: B. Sosa Crystal Palace

59' 59' Substitution 2 | Mohamed Salah | assist/sub out: J. Frimpong F. Lejeune Liverpool

59' 59' Substitution 5 | B. Johnson | assist/sub out: Y. Pino Crystal Palace

Metric Liverpool Crystal Palace SStats

Ожидаемые голы (xG) 1.15 2.26 final

Заблокированные удары 4 1 final

Удары мимо 2 6 final

Удары в створ 3 7 final

Удары всего 9 14 final

Фолы совершено 10 10 final

Желтые карточки 1 3 final

Офсайды 1 4 final

Liverpool #4 Virgil van Dijk, #5 I. Konate, #7 F. Wirtz, #8 Dominik Szoboszlai, #9 Alexander Isak, #10 A. Mac Allister, #11 M. Salah, #17 Curtis Jones, #18 Cody Gakpo, #26 A. Robertson, #28 F. Woodman

Crystal Palace #1 D. Henderson, #2 D. Munoz, #3 Tyrick Mitchell, #5 M. Lacroix, #7 I. Sarr, #11 B. Johnson, #14 J. Mateta, #18 Daichi Kamada, #20 A. Wharton, #23 Jaydee Canvot, #26 Chris Richards

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Mac Allister Liverpool football.player.assists 2

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Дриблинг попытки 6

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Единоборства всего 1

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Единоборства выиграно 10

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Фолы совершено 3

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Сейвы 0

A. Mac Allister Liverpool football.player.minutes_played 90

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Точность пасов % 2

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Ключевые пасы 50

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Рейтинг (старый) 7.3

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Liverpool 66.0% 64.2% market and model agree

Draw 19.4% 21.4% draw risk

Crystal Palace 14.6% 14.4%

xG - 1.90 : 0.77

Total 2.5 Over 36.6% - Under 63.4%

Model check - - Difference 0.02

Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 64.2% / 21.4% / 14.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,576 / 1,510 Liverpool / Crystal Palace

RD 73 / 72 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.28 market consensus · no value · model 14.4%

X 4.74 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 64.2%

Double chance

X2 2.67 market consensus · no value · model 35.8%

12 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 78.6%

1X 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 85.6%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.71 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.12 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.70 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · no value · model 36.6%

Under 2.5 2.38 market consensus · weak value +51.0% · model 63.4%

Both teams to score

No 2.08 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
П1	1.45 69.0%	1.49 67.1%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.44 69.4%
Х	4.55 22.0%	5.08 19.7%	4.60 21.7%	5.00 20.0%	4.60 21.7%	5.00 20.0%
П2	6.25 16.0%	6.70 14.9%	6.00 16.7%	6.25 16.0%	6.40 15.6%	6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.10 47.6%	2.04 49.0%	2.15 46.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.02 49.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%	2.02 49.5%	2.14 46.7%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.71 58.5%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.71 58.5%	1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.70 37.0%	2.81 35.6%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.72 36.8%	2.70 37.0%
home_away	1.15 87.0%	1.21 82.6%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.19 84.0%	1.14 87.7%
home_draw	1.10 90.9%	1.13 88.5%	1.13 88.5%	1.12 89.3%	1.14 87.7%	1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	1.03 97.1%	1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.0	—	1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.5	1.18 84.8%	1.12 89.3%
ТБ 1.75	—	1.15 87.0%
ТБ 2.0	—	1.20 83.3%
ТБ 2.25	—	1.36 73.5%
ТБ 2.5	1.57 63.7%	—
ТБ 3.5	2.40 41.7%	—
ТБ 4.5	4.20 23.8%	—
ТБ 5.5	7.50 13.3%	—
ТМ 0.5	11.00 9.1%	—
ТМ 1.5	4.75 21.1%	—
ТМ 2.5	2.35 42.6%	—
ТМ 3.5	1.55 64.5%	—
ТМ 4.5	1.22 82.0%	—
ТМ 5.5	1.08 92.6%	—

Match center

Liverpool

Founded 1892

Crystal Palace

Founded 1861

Match center

Liverpool

W W L D L

19.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:1 Everton

11.04 16:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:0 Fulham

21.03 12:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:2 Brighton

15.03 16:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:1 Tottenkhem

03.03 20:15 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:2 Wolves

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Crystal Palace

D W D W L

20.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 0:0 West Ham

12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 2:1 Nyukasl

15.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 0:0 Leeds

05.03 20:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 3:1 Tottenkhem

01.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:2 Manchester United

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Crystal Palace

Liverpool

3 matches total

Crystal Palace

Liverpool: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (33.3%)

Crystal Palace: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Kristal Pelas 1:2 (27.09 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 27.09 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (25.05 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

27.09 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Liverpul

1:2

Kristal Pelas

25.05 15:00 UTC

Premier League

Liverpul

1:1

Kristal Pelas

05.10 11:30 UTC

Premier League

Liverpul

1:0

Kristal Pelas

Match center

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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.