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Premier League
Premier League England
20.09.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Liverpool - Everton

England Football
Liverpool
Liverpool
2 : 1
Finished
Everton
Everton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Everton September 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.59 / 2 6.42
  • 1X2 market: Liverpool 64.1% / X 20.9% / Everton 15.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 64.1%
X 20.9%
2 15.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 57.3%
Under 2.5 42.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.09.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Liverpool - Everton

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.44 market consensus · line only
X 4.58 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.72 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.72 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.06 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.79 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.52 65.8%
X 4.53 22.1%
6.54 15.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
1.51 66.2% 1.52 65.8% 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4%
X 4.55 22.0% 4.82 20.8% 4.70 21.3% 4.53 22.1% 4.53 22.1% 4.40 22.7%
6.20 16.1% 6.71 14.9% 6.55 15.3% 6.54 15.3% 6.54 15.3% 6.00 16.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% 2.04 49.0% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 2.73 36.6% 2.75 36.4% 2.72 36.8% 2.72 36.8% 2.70 37.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Liverpool
W W W W D
14.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:0 BurnleyBurnley
31.08 15:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:0 ArsenalArsenal
25.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 3:2 NyukaslNyukasl
15.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 4:2 BournemouthBournemouth
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
13 Points
Everton
D W W L W
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:2 WolvesWolves
24.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 BrightonBrighton
18.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:1 LeedsLeeds
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Everton

Liverpool
1 matches total
Everton
Liverpool: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Everton: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Liverpul 1:0 (02.04 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 02.04 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

02.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpul
1:0
Everton