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Premier League England

08.02.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

08.02.2026 16:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Liverpool - Manchester City

England Football

Liverpool

1 : 2

Finished

Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Manchester City February 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.22 / X 3.75 / 2 3.03
1X2 market: Liverpool 43.1% / X 25.5% / Manchester City 31.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 64.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 43.0%

X 25.5%

2 31.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%

Over 2.5 64.1%

Under 2.5 35.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 08.02.2026 16:30 UTC

Match center

Liverpool - Manchester City

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.04 market consensus · line only

X 3.75 market consensus · line only

1 2.22 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.67 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.39 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.35 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.94 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.75 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.62 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.74 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.24 44.6%
X	3.80 26.3%
	3.15 31.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.16 46.3%	2.20 45.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%
X	3.65 27.4%	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.90 25.6%	3.70 27.0%
	2.98 33.6%	3.00 33.3%	3.09 32.4%	2.90 34.5%	2.90 34.5%	3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.80 35.7%	2.89 34.6%	2.73 36.6%	2.50 40.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.80 35.7%	2.80 35.7%	2.69 37.2%	2.96 33.8%
yes	1.40 71.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.41 70.9%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.41 70.9%	1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.65 60.6%	1.69 59.2%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.38 72.5%	1.42 70.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.39 71.9%	1.33 75.2%