Premier League England

19.10.2025 15:30 UTC Match prediction

19.10.2025 15:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Liverpool - Manchester United

England Futbol

Liverpool

1 : 2

Finished

Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Manchester United 19 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / X 4.48 / 2 4.96
1X2 market: Liverpool 59.3% / X 21.4% / Manchester United 19.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 64.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 59.4%

X 21.3%

2 19.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%

Over 2.5 65.0%

Under 2.5 35.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 19.10.2025 15:30 UTC

Match center

Liverpool - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.97 market consensus · line only

X 4.48 market consensus · line only

1 1.61 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.35 market consensus · line only

12 1.21 market consensus · line only

1X 1.18 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.37 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.86 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.55 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.20 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.45 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.69 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.45 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.62 61.7%
Х	4.46 22.4%
П2	5.12 19.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	1.61 62.1%	1.61 62.1%	1.63 61.4%	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.65 60.6%
Х	4.50 22.2%	4.50 22.2%	4.74 21.1%	4.40 22.7%	4.50 22.2%	4.50 22.2%
П2	4.65 21.5%	5.00 20.0%	5.20 19.2%	4.80 20.8%	4.75 21.1%	5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.40 41.7%	2.57 38.9%	2.48 40.3%	2.45 40.8%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.50 40.0%	2.41 41.5%	2.54 39.4%
yes	1.50 66.7%	1.51 66.2%	1.49 67.1%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.30 43.5%	2.42 41.3%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.32 43.1%	2.44 41.0%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.19 84.0%

Match center

Liverpool

L L W W W

04.10 16:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:2 Chelsea

27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:2 Kristal Pelas

20.09 11:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:1 Everton

14.09 13:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:0 Burnley

31.08 15:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:0 Arsenal

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Manchester United

W L W L W

04.10 14:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:0 Sunderland

27.09 11:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:3 Brentford

20.09 16:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:1 Chelsea

14.09 15:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 0:3 Manchester City

30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 3:2 Burnley

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.8 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Manchester United

Liverpool

1 matches total

Manchester United

Liverpool: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Manchester United: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Liverpul 3:0 (01.09 15:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 01.09 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

01.09 15:00 UTC

Premier League

Liverpul

3:0

Manchester United