Premier League
Premier League England
14.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Liverpool - Nottingham Forest

England Futbol
Liverpool
Liverpool
0 : 1
Finished
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Nottingham Forest 14 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / X 6.74 / 2 11.58
  • 1X2 market: Liverpool 77.3% / X 14.3% / Nottingham Forest 8.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 77.3%
X 14.3%
2 8.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Liverpool - Nottingham Forest

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.74 market consensus · line only
1 1.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.25 80.0%
Х 6.74 14.8%
П2 11.58 8.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 4.30 23.3%
home_away 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.07 93.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.06 48.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.84 54.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.08 92.6%
П2 9.77 10.2%
Match center
Liverpool
W
01.09 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 3:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points