Match center
Start
22.09.2024 15:30 UTC
22.09.2024 15:30 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Manchester City - Arsenal
2
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Manchester City - Arsenal 22 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.
Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / X 3.64 / 2 5.10
- 1X2 market: Manchester City 54.3% / X 26.7% / Arsenal 19.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.9%
1
54.3%
X
26.7%
2
19.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.4%
Over 2.5
48.8%
Under 2.5
51.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Manchester City - Arsenal
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.10
market consensus · line only
X
3.64
market consensus · line only
1
1.79
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.13
market consensus · line only
12
1.32
market consensus · line only
1X
1.20
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.00
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.91
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.79 55.9% |
| Х | 3.64 27.5% |
| П2 | 5.10 19.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.13 47.0% |
| home_away | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_draw | 1.20 83.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.91 52.4% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.31 76.3% |
| П2 | 3.68 27.2% |
Match center
Manchester City
W
14.09 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester City
2:1
Brentford
Brentford
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Arsenal
W
15.09 13:00 UTC
Premier League
Arsenal
1:0
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Arsenal
Manchester City
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals