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Premier League
Premier League England
20.05.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
20.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester City - Bournemouth

England Football
Manchester City
Manchester City
3 : 1
Finished
Bournemouth
Bournemouth

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Bournemouth May 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 5.43 / 2 8.57
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 71.0% / X 17.8% / Bournemouth 11.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 71.0%
X 17.8%
2 11.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Manchester City - Bournemouth

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.57 market consensus · line only
X 5.43 market consensus · line only
1 1.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.36 73.5%
X 5.43 18.4%
8.57 11.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.46 28.9%
home_away 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.28 43.9%
Under 3.5 1.68 59.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.12 89.3%
7.11 14.1%
Match center
Manchester City
D W W W W
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 0:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
02.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:0 WolvesWolves
22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:0 EvertonEverton
12.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 5:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Bournemouth
L W D D W
10.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
03.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:1 ArsenalArsenal
27.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
14.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:0 FulhamFulham
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points