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Premier League England

02.11.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

02.11.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Manchester City - Bournemouth

England Football

Manchester City

3 : 1

Finished

Bournemouth

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Bournemouth November 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.91 / 2 6.48
1X2 market: Manchester City 65.6% / X 19.6% / Bournemouth 14.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%

1 65.5%

X 19.6%

2 14.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%

Over 2.5 63.2%

Under 2.5 36.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 02.11.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

Manchester City - Bournemouth

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.48 market consensus · line only

X 4.92 market consensus · line only

1 1.47 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.76 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 1.13 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.74 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.14 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.75 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.56 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.19 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.47 68.0%
X	5.04 19.8%
	6.44 15.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.45 69.0%	1.50 66.7%	1.45 69.0%	1.48 67.6%	1.47 68.0%	1.47 68.0%
X	4.85 20.6%	5.06 19.8%	4.75 21.1%	5.00 20.0%	5.04 19.8%	5.04 19.8%
	6.80 14.7%	6.63 15.1%	6.50 15.4%	6.55 15.3%	6.44 15.5%	6.44 15.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.28 43.9%	2.19 45.7%	2.05 48.8%	2.16 46.3%	2.28 43.9%	2.15 46.5%
yes	1.64 61.0%	1.62 61.7%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%	1.68 59.5%	1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	2.79 35.8%	2.62 38.2%	2.77 36.1%	2.88 34.7%	2.88 34.7%	2.62 38.2%
home_away	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.14 87.7%	1.12 89.3%	1.13 88.5%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%	1.12 89.3%