Premier League
Premier League England
14.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester City - Brentford

England Futbol
Manchester City
Manchester City
2 : 1
Finished
Brentford
Brentford

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Brentford 14 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.18 / X 8.27 / 2 15.39
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 82.0% / X 11.7% / Brentford 6.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 82.0%
X 11.7%
2 6.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Manchester City - Brentford

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 8.27 market consensus · line only
1 1.18 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 5.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.10 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.18 84.8%
Х 8.27 12.1%
П2 15.39 6.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 5.44 18.4%
home_away 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.05 48.8%
ТМ 3.5 1.85 54.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.05 95.2%
П2 13.25 7.6%