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Premier League England

27.09.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction

27.09.2025 14:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Manchester City - Burnley

England Football

Manchester City

5 : 1

Finished

Burnley

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Burnley September 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 7.07 / 2 14.37
1X2 market: Manchester City 79.7% / X 13.6% / Burnley 6.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 64.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%

1 79.8%

X 13.5%

2 6.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%

Over 2.5 64.0%

Under 2.5 36.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 27.09.2025 14:00 UTC

Match center

Manchester City - Burnley

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 7.10 market consensus · line only

1 1.20 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 4.65 market consensus · line only

12 1.11 market consensus · line only

1X 1.04 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 4.53 market consensus · line only

2 -1 3.63 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.63 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.69 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.20 83.3%
X	7.50 13.3%
	15.50 6.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.19 84.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%	1.23 81.3%
X	6.50 15.4%	7.20 13.9%	7.15 14.0%	6.50 15.4%	7.50 13.3%	6.80 14.7%
	15.50 6.5%	12.50 8.0%	14.20 7.0%	13.00 7.7%	15.00 6.7%	15.50 6.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.65 60.6%	1.72 58.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.75 57.1%	1.62 61.7%	1.69 59.2%	1.75 57.1%
yes	2.10 47.6%	2.13 47.0%	2.06 48.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.02 49.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.04 49.0%	2.14 46.7%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	4.50 22.2%	4.52 22.1%	4.50 22.2%	5.00 20.0%	4.55 22.0%	4.55 22.0%
home_away	1.09 91.7%	1.13 88.5%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.12 89.3%
home_draw	1.03 97.1%	1.04 96.2%	1.04 96.2%	1.03 97.1%	1.04 96.2%	1.04 96.2%

Match center

Manchester City

D W L L W

21.09 15:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 1:1 Arsenal

14.09 15:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 3:0 Manchester United

31.08 13:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 1:2 Brighton

23.08 11:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 0:2 Tottenkhem

16.08 16:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 4:0 Wolves

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

7 Points

Burnley

D L L W L

20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:1 Nottingem Forest

14.09 13:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:1 Liverpul

30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 2:3 Manchester United

23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 2:0 Sunderland

16.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:3 Tottenkhem

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.6 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Burnley

Manchester City

0 matches total

Burnley

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Manchester City - Burnley

AI match prediction Manchester City - Burnley September 27, 2025

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Manchester City - Burnley

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Market 1

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Match history