Match center
Start
04.01.2026 17:30 UTC
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04.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Manchester City - Chelsea
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Manchester City - Chelsea January 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.
Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.60 / 2 5.41
- 1X2 market: Manchester City 61.5% / X 20.8% / Chelsea 17.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 65.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
61.6%
X
20.8%
2
17.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5
65.6%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Manchester City - Chelsea
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.43
market consensus · line only
X
4.60
market consensus · line only
1
1.55
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.47
market consensus · line only
12
1.20
market consensus · line only
1X
1.17
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.50
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.97
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.70
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.70
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.44
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.75
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.44
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.52
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.56 64.1% | |
| X | 4.70 21.3% |
| 5.58 17.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.53 65.4% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.53 65.4% | |
| X | 4.45 22.5% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.78 20.9% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.60 21.7% |
| 5.50 18.2% | 5.30 18.9% | 5.58 17.9% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.50 18.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.45 40.8% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.39 41.8% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.47 40.5% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.53 65.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.45 40.8% | 2.51 39.8% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.54 39.4% | 2.57 38.9% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% |
| home_draw | 1.14 87.7% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% |
Match center
Manchester City
D
W
W
W
W
01.01 20:00 UTC
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Manchester City
0:0
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Sunderland
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Nottingem Forest
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Manchester City
3:0
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West Ham
14.12 14:00 UTC
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Manchester City
3:0
Kristal Pelas
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06.12 15:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester City
3:0
Sunderland
Sunderland
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.2
Conceded
13
Points
Chelsea
D
L
D
W
D
30.12 19:30 UTC
Premier League
Chelsea
2:2
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
27.12 17:30 UTC
Premier League
Chelsea
1:2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
20.12 12:30 UTC
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Chelsea
2:2
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
13.12 15:00 UTC
Premier League
Chelsea
2:0
Everton
Everton
06.12 15:00 UTC
Premier League
Chelsea
0:0
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.2
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Chelsea
Manchester City
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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