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Premier League
Premier League England
12.04.2025 11:30 UTC Match prediction
12.04.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester City - Crystal Palace

England Football
Manchester City
Manchester City
5 : 2
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Crystal Palace April 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / X 4.57 / 2 5.50
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 61.4% / X 21.1% / Crystal Palace 17.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 61.4%
X 21.1%
2 17.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.04.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Manchester City - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 market consensus · line only
X 4.57 market consensus · line only
1 1.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.57 63.7%
X 4.57 21.9%
5.50 18.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.52 39.7%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.44 41.0%
Under 3.5 1.60 62.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.24 80.7%
4.34 23.0%
Match center
Manchester City
D W W W W
06.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 0:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:0 Leicester
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
20.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 WolvesWolves
05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:2 FulhamFulham
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Crystal Palace
W D W L L
05.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:1 BrightonBrighton
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 SouthamptonSouthampton
27.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
21.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
05.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:1 LiverpulLiverpul
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points