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Premier League
Premier League England
13.05.2026 19:00 UTC 31 round
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester City - Crystal Palace

England Football
Manchester City
Manchester City
3 : 0
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Crystal Palace May 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.95 / 2 8.81
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 73.0% / X 16.1% / Crystal Palace 10.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 73.1%
X 16.1%
2 10.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 67.3%
Under 2.5 32.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Draw

Main outcome Draw
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 5.7%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Stadium Etikhad (Manchester, England), vmestimost: 55097
Referee Styuart Atvell (Nunaton, Uorikshir)
Start 13.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Manchester City - Crystal Palace

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Manchester Siti - Kristal Pelas, 13 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. APL 2025-2026 — Championship England po futbolu, 31 round. Manchester Siti - Kristal Pelas, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:0
Events 15
Statistics 22
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
32' 32' Normal Goal | A. Semenyo | assist/sub out: P. Foden A. Semenyo Manchester City
40' 40' Normal Goal | O. Marmoush | assist/sub out: P. Foden O. Marmoush Manchester City
52' 52' Yellow Card | T. Mitchell Tyrick Mitchell Crystal Palace
58' 58' Substitution 1 | Matheus Nunes | assist/sub out: N. Ake M. Nunes Manchester City
58' 58' Substitution 2 | Matheus Nunes | assist/sub out: N. Ake M. Nunes Manchester City
60' 60' Substitution 1 | Y. Pino | assist/sub out: I. Sarr Y. Pino Crystal Palace
60' 60' Substitution 2 | J. Mateta | assist/sub out: J. S. Larsen J. Mateta Crystal Palace
60' 60' Substitution 3 | W. Hughes | assist/sub out: A. Wharton Will Hughes Crystal Palace
Metric Manchester City Crystal Palace SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.66 0.73 final
Zablokirovannye udary 3 2 final
Shots off target 8 2 final
Shots on target 4 2 final
Udary vsego 15 6 final
Fouls soversheno 10 7 final
Zheltye kartochki 0 2 final
Offsides 0 4 final
Manchester City #7 O. Marmoush, #20 B. Silva, #21 R. Ait-Nouri, #24 J. Gvardiol, #25 G. Donnarumma, #15 M. Guehi, #26 Savinho, #42 A. Semenyo, #47 P. Foden, #45 A. Khusanov, #27 M. Nunes
Crystal Palace #1 D. Henderson, #3 Tyrick Mitchell, #10 Y. Pino, #14 J. Mateta, #8 J. Lerma, #23 Jaydee Canvot, #5 M. Lacroix, #19 Will Hughes, #11 B. Johnson, #26 Chris Richards, #2 D. Munoz
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Khusanov Manchester City football.player.minutes_played 94
A. Semenyo Manchester City football.player.goals 1
A. Semenyo Manchester City football.player.minutes_played 94
B. Silva Manchester City football.player.minutes_played 79
G. Donnarumma Manchester City football.player.minutes_played 94
J. Doku Manchester City football.player.minutes_played 36
J. Gvardiol Manchester City football.player.minutes_played 58
J. Stones Manchester City football.player.minutes_played 12
M. Guehi Manchester City football.player.minutes_played 94
M. Kovacic Manchester City football.player.minutes_played 15
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.68 market consensus · line only
X 6.69 market consensus · line only
1 1.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.68 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.83 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.26 79.4% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.29 77.5%
X 6.20 16.1% 6.10 16.4% 5.75 17.4% 6.00 16.7% 5.70 17.5% 6.50 15.4%
8.90 11.2% 8.90 11.2% 8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1% 9.25 10.8% 9.50 10.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.03 49.3% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.80 26.3% 3.48 28.7% 3.50 28.6% 4.50 22.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.13 88.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.09 91.7% 1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.12 89.3% 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.75 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.0 1.14 87.7%
Over 2.25 1.29 77.5%
Over 2.5 1.42 70.4% 1.41 70.9%
Over 2.75 1.52 65.8%
Over 3.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 4.5 3.30 30.3%
Over 5.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 1.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 2.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 3.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 4.5 1.33 75.2%
Under 5.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Manchester City

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Crystal Palace

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Eddi Nketia Sheyk Dukure Kaleb Kporkha Borna Sosa Evann Gessan
Match center
Manchester City
W D W W W
09.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 BrentfordBrentford
04.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:3 EvertonEverton
22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:0 BurnleyBurnley
19.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 ArsenalArsenal
12.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 ChelseaChelsea
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Crystal Palace
D L L D W
10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:2 EvertonEverton
03.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:3 BournemouthBournemouth
25.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:3 LiverpulLiverpul
20.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 West HamWest Ham
12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Crystal Palace

Manchester City
2 matches total
Crystal Palace
Manchester City: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Crystal Palace: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Manchester City 3:0 (14.12 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (5:2, 12.04 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

8 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 8

Match history

14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City
3:0
Kristal Pelas
12.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City
5:2
Kristal Pelas
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Manchester City
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Crystal Palace
Manchester City Team comparison Crystal Palace
35 Games 35
22 Wins 11
8 Draws 11
5 Losses 13
72 Scored 38
32 Conceded 44
74 Points 44
114.38 Attacks 86.12
63.06 Dangerous attacks 42.44
0 Big chances 0
15.86 Shots on goal 11.66
5.4 Shots on target 3.71
0 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Antuan Semeno Fil Foden 1:0 32' Omar Marmush Fil Foden 2:0 40' Savio Rayan Sherki 3:0 84' Nakazaniya Tayrik Mitchell 52' Daiti Kamada 81'

Manchester Siti Kristal Pelas 35 Games 35 22 Wins 11 8 Draws 11 5 Losses 13 72 Scored 38 32 Conceded 44 74 Points 44 114.38 Attacks 86.12 63.06 Dangerous attacks 42.44 0 Big chances 0 15.86 Shots on goal 11.66 5.4 Udary v stvor 3.71 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6.29 Uglovye 4.26 1.17 Offsaydy 1.86 9.77 Foly 10.66 60.77 % vladeniya myachom 46.77 1.8 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Antuan Semeno Fil Foden 1:0 32' Omar Marmush Fil Foden 2:0 40' Savio Rayan Sherki 3:0 84' Nakazaniya Tayrik Mitchell 52' Daiti Kamada 81'