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Premier League
Premier League England
18.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester City - Everton

England Football
Manchester City
Manchester City
2 : 0
Finished
Everton
Everton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Everton October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / X 4.50 / 2 7.54
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 65.8% / X 21.4% / Everton 12.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 65.9%
X 21.4%
2 12.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.8%
Over 2.5 55.4%
Under 2.5 44.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Manchester City - Everton

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.58 market consensus · line only
X 4.49 market consensus · line only
1 1.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.80 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.47 68.0%
X 4.40 22.7%
7.90 12.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.42 70.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0%
X 4.55 22.0% 4.70 21.3% 4.50 22.2% 4.55 22.0% 4.40 22.7% 4.40 22.7%
7.50 13.3% 7.35 13.6% 8.00 12.5% 7.10 14.1% 7.90 12.7% 7.90 12.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.97 50.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 2.78 36.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.78 36.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.70 37.0%
home_away 1.23 81.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Manchester City
W W D W L
05.10 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:0 BrentfordBrentford
27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 5:1 BurnleyBurnley
21.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:1 ArsenalArsenal
14.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
31.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:2 BrightonBrighton
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Everton
W D L D W
05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
29.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 West HamWest Ham
20.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:2 LiverpulLiverpul
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:2 WolvesWolves
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Everton

Manchester City
1 matches total
Everton
Manchester City: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Everton: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Manchester City 2:0 (19.04 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 19.04 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City
2:0
Everton