Premier League
Premier League England
05.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester City - Fulham

England Futbol
Manchester City
Manchester City
3 : 2
Finished
Fulham
Fulham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Fulham 5 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / X 6.54 / 2 11.45
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 76.9% / X 14.7% / Fulham 8.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 76.9%
X 14.7%
2 8.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 63.6%
Under 2.5 36.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Manchester City - Fulham

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.54 market consensus · line only
1 1.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.25 80.0%
Х 6.54 15.3%
П2 11.45 8.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 4.19 23.9%
home_away 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.06 94.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.51 66.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.64 37.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.08 92.6%
П2 9.72 10.3%
Match center
Manchester City
D D W
28.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:1 NyukaslNyukasl
22.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:2 ArsenalArsenal
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 BrentfordBrentford
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
5 Points
Fulham
W W D
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 3:1 NyukaslNyukasl
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:1 West HamWest Ham
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Fulham

Manchester City
0 matches total
Fulham
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history