Premier League
Premier League England
11.02.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester City - Fulham

England Futbol
Manchester City
Manchester City
3 : 0
Finished
Fulham
Fulham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Fulham 11 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.38 / X 5.14 / 2 7.60
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 68.8% / X 18.6% / Fulham 12.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 69.0%
X 18.5%
2 12.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 64.6%
Under 2.5 35.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.02.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

Manchester City - Fulham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.64 market consensus · line only
X 5.14 market consensus · line only
1 1.38 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.04 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.10 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.37 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.57 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.39 71.9%
Х 5.15 19.4%
П2 8.26 12.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.46 68.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4%
Х 4.80 20.8% 5.30 18.9% 4.98 20.1% 4.80 20.8% 5.75 17.4% 5.10 19.6%
П2 7.10 14.1% 7.50 13.3% 7.14 14.0% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3% 8.25 12.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.24 44.6%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.95 33.9% 2.89 34.6% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.20 31.3%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.08 92.6% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Manchester City
W D W L D
08.02 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 LiverpulLiverpul
01.02 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
24.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:0 WolvesWolves
17.01 12:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 0:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:1 BrightonBrighton
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Fulham
L L W L W
07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:2 EvertonEverton
01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:3 Manchester UnitedManchester United
24.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:1 BrightonBrighton
17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:1 LeedsLeeds
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:1 ChelseaChelsea
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Fulham

Manchester City
3 matches total
Fulham
Manchester City: 3 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fulham: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Manchester City 2:0 (25.05 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 9 goals (5:4, 02.12 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

10 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 10

Match history

02.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City
5:4
Fulham
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City
2:0
Fulham
05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City
3:2
Fulham