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Start
29.11.2025 15:00 UTC
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29.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Manchester City - Leeds
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Manchester City - Leeds November 29, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.
Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 6.24 / 2 10.94
- 1X2 market: Manchester City 75.9% / X 15.3% / Leeds 8.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 64.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.5%
1
75.9%
X
15.3%
2
8.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5
64.2%
Under 2.5
35.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Manchester City - Leeds
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
6.27
market consensus · line only
1
1.26
market consensus · line only
2
9.76
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.91
market consensus · line only
12
1.13
market consensus · line only
1X
1.06
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.78
market consensus · line only
2 -1
3.08
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.25
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.37
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.47
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.64
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.86
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.89
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.26 79.4% | |
| X | 6.62 15.1% |
| 11.06 9.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | |
| X | 5.70 17.5% | 6.40 15.6% | 6.33 15.8% | 5.75 17.4% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.10 16.4% |
| 11.50 8.7% | 9.90 10.1% | 11.60 8.6% | 10.00 10.0% | 9.50 10.5% | 11.50 8.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.93 51.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.75 26.7% | 3.92 25.5% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.92 25.5% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_draw | 1.04 96.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.05 95.2% |
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Match center
Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Leeds
Manchester City
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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