Premier League England

21.02.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

21.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Manchester City - Newcastle

England Futbol

Manchester City

2 : 1

Finished

Newcastle

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Newcastle 21 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 4.76 / 2 5.65
1X2 market: Manchester City 63.1% / X 20.0% / Newcastle 16.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 65.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 63.1%

X 20.0%

2 16.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%

Over 2.5 65.3%

Under 2.5 34.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 21.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Manchester City - Newcastle

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.66 market consensus · line only

X 4.78 market consensus · line only

1 1.51 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.59 market consensus · line only

12 1.19 market consensus · line only

1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.60 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.06 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.08 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.45 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.73 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.33 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.51 66.2%
Х	4.99 20.0%
П2	5.78 17.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.55 64.5%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%
Х	4.45 22.5%	4.80 20.8%	5.02 19.9%	4.50 22.2%	4.75 21.1%	4.85 20.6%
П2	5.60 17.9%	5.70 17.5%	5.83 17.2%	5.00 20.0%	5.50 18.2%	5.90 17.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.40 41.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.26 44.3%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.38 42.0%	2.43 41.2%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.58 63.3%	1.58 63.3%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.58 63.3%	1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.50 40.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.57 38.9%	2.63 38.0%
home_away	1.15 87.0%	1.21 82.6%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.19 84.0%	1.14 87.7%
home_draw	1.13 88.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.14 87.7%	1.17 85.5%	1.10 90.9%

Match center

Manchester City

W W D W L

11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 3:0 Fulham

08.02 16:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 2:1 Liverpul

01.02 16:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 2:2 Tottenkhem

24.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 2:0 Wolves

17.01 12:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 0:2 Manchester United

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

10 Points

Newcastle

W L L L D

10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:1 Tottenkhem

07.02 17:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:3 Brentford

31.01 20:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 1:4 Liverpul

25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:2 Aston Villa

18.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:0 Wolves

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Newcastle

Manchester City

2 matches total

Newcastle

Manchester City: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Newcastle: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Nyukasl 1:2 (22.11 17:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 22.11 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (28.09 11:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

22.11 17:30 UTC

Premier League

Manchester City

1:2

Nyukasl

28.09 11:30 UTC

Premier League

Manchester City

1:1

Nyukasl