Premier League
Premier League England
24.01.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester City - Wolves

England Futbol
Manchester City
Manchester City
2 : 0
Finished
Wolves
Wolves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Wolves 24 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / X 5.76 / 2 9.40
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 73.2% / X 16.6% / Wolves 10.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 73.3%
X 16.5%
2 10.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 61.5%
Under 2.5 38.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.01.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Manchester City - Wolves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.38 market consensus · line only
X 5.77 market consensus · line only
1 1.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.70 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.78 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 9.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.30 76.9%
Х 5.95 16.8%
П2 9.90 10.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.32 75.8% 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6% 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6%
Х 5.30 18.9% 5.90 17.0% 5.89 17.0% 5.75 17.4% 5.75 17.4% 5.50 18.2%
П2 8.60 11.6% 9.00 11.1% 9.95 10.1% 9.00 11.1% 8.50 11.8% 10.25 9.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.25 30.8% 3.56 28.1% 3.60 27.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.58 27.9%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.17 85.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Manchester City
L D D D W
17.01 12:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 0:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:1 BrightonBrighton
04.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:1 ChelseaChelsea
01.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 0:0 SunderlandSunderland
27.12 12:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Wolves
D D W D L
18.01 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:0 NyukaslNyukasl
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Wolves 1:1 EvertonEverton
03.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 3:0 West HamWest Ham
30.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Wolves 1:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 1:2 LiverpulLiverpul
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Wolves

Manchester City
3 matches total
Wolves
Manchester City: 3 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Wolves: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Manchester City 4:0 (16.08 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 16.08 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

7 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 7

Match history

16.08 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City
4:0
Wolves
02.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City
1:0
Wolves
20.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City
2:1
Wolves