Premier League
Premier League England
25.05.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester United - Aston Villa

England Futbol
Manchester United
Manchester United
2 : 0
Finished
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - Aston Villa 25 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.51 / X 4.34 / 2 1.72
  • 1X2 market: Manchester United 21.5% / X 22.3% / Aston Villa 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 21.5%
X 22.3%
2 56.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 25.05.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Manchester United - Aston Villa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.72 market consensus · line only
X 4.34 market consensus · line only
1 4.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.51 22.2%
Х 4.34 23.0%
П2 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.23 44.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.43 41.2%
ТМ 3.5 1.61 62.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.51 28.5%
П2 1.34 74.6%
Match center
Manchester United
L L L D L
16.05 19:15 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:1 ChelseaChelsea
11.05 13:15 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:2 West HamWest Ham
04.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 3:4 BrentfordBrentford
27.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:1 BournemouthBournemouth
20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:1 WolvesWolves
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Aston Villa
W W W L W
16.05 18:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
10.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 1:0 BournemouthBournemouth
03.05 11:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 1:0 FulhamFulham
22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 1:2 Manchester CityManchester City
19.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 4:1 NyukaslNyukasl
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester United - Aston Villa

Manchester United
1 matches total
Aston Villa
Manchester United: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Aston Villa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (06.10 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United
0:0
Aston Villa