Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Premier League England

15.12.2025 20:00 UTC Match prediction

15.12.2025 20:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Manchester United - Bournemouth

England Football

Manchester United

4 : 4

Finished

Bournemouth

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - Bournemouth December 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 4.19 / 2 3.95
1X2 market: Manchester United 53.0% / X 22.8% / Bournemouth 24.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 64.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 53.0%

X 22.8%

2 24.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%

Over 2.5 64.2%

Under 2.5 35.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 15.12.2025 20:00 UTC

Match center

Manchester United - Bournemouth

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.95 market consensus · line only

X 4.20 market consensus · line only

1 1.80 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.03 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 1.26 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.61 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.77 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.47 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.64 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.58 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.81 55.3%
X	4.33 23.1%
	3.99 25.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.79 55.9%	1.79 55.9%	1.84 54.4%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.83 54.6%
X	4.10 24.4%	4.30 23.3%	4.45 22.5%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%	4.30 23.3%
	3.85 26.0%	4.05 24.7%	4.04 24.8%	3.80 26.3%	4.10 24.4%	4.05 24.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.60 38.5%	2.66 37.6%	2.53 39.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.67 37.5%
yes	1.45 69.0%	1.48 67.6%	1.47 68.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.47 68.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.00 50.0%	2.07 48.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	2.05 48.8%	1.90 52.6%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.22 82.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.34 74.6%

Match center

Manchester United

W D W L D

08.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 4:1 Wolves

04.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 West Ham

30.11 12:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:1 Kristal Pelas

24.11 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 0:1 Everton

08.11 12:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:2 Tottenkhem

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

8 Points

Bournemouth

D L L D L

06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 0:0 Chelsea

02.12 19:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 0:1 Everton

29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 2:3 Sunderland

22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 2:2 West Ham

09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 0:4 Aston Villa

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

2.0 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester United - Bournemouth

Manchester United

1 matches total

Bournemouth

Manchester United: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Bournemouth: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 27.04 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (27.04 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

27.04 13:00 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

1:1

Bournemouth