Premier League England

27.04.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction Prediction

27.04.2026 19:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Manchester United - Brentford

England Futbol

Stadium Old Trafford

Capacity 76 212

Manchester United

2 : 1

Finished

Brentford

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Manchester United — 48%

1 · Manchester United48.3%

X · draw25.5%

2 · Brentford26.2%

Model estimate: win Manchester United 48.3%, draw 25.5%, win Brentford 26.2%. Model favourite — Manchester United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - Brentford 27 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Strongest: Manchester United - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.80 / 2 3.86
1X2 market: Manchester United 50.8% / X 24.8% / Brentford 24.4%
Glicko: Manchester United 48.3% / X 25.5% / Brentford 26.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 44.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3%

1 50.9%

X 24.8%

2 24.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.5%

Over 2.5 60.4%

Under 2.5 39.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 50.2%

Total ТМ 2.5

Score 1:0

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

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Match center

Start 27.04.2026 19:00 UTC

Stadium Old Trafford (Manchester)

Capacity 76,212

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🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Manchester United 48%

💹 Market Manchester United 5082%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Manchester United - Brentford

Manchester United: Победа 1.85 Manchester United: Ничья 3.70 Brentford Победа: 3.80 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 1.57 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 2.38 Индивидуальный тотал голов Manchester United больше 1.5: 1.62 Индивидуальный тотал голов Manchester United меньше 1.5: 2.20 И…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:1

Events 14

Statistics 24

Lineups 39

min Event Player Team

6' 6' Yellow Card | Luke Shaw J. Mateta Manchester United

11' 11' Normal Goal | Casemiro | assist/sub out: H. Maguire H. Diarra Manchester United

40' 40' Yellow Card | S. van den Berg Brentford

43' 43' Normal Goal | Benjamin Šeško | assist/sub out: B. Fernandes Manchester United

46' 46' Substitution 1 | A. Diallo | assist/sub out: N. Mazraoui Manchester United

71' 71' Yellow Card | D. Ouattara Brentford

73' 73' Substitution 1 | K. Schade | assist/sub out: R. Nelson Brentford

73' 73' Substitution 2 | Luke Shaw | assist/sub out: Leny Yoro J. Mateta Manchester United

Metric Manchester United Brentford SStats

Ожидаемые голы (xG) 1.36 1.17 final

Заблокированные удары 0 4 final

Удары мимо 5 4 final

Удары в створ 6 4 final

Удары всего 11 12 final

Фолы совершено 6 9 final

Желтые карточки 2 4 final

Офсайды 1 2 final

Manchester United #2 D. Dalot, #5 H. Maguire, #8 B. Fernandes, #16 A. Diallo, #18 Casemiro, #19 B. Mbeumo, #23 L. Shaw, #26 A. Heaven, #30 B. Šeško, #31 S. Lammens, #37 K. Mainoo

Brentford #1 C. Kelleher, #4 Sepp van den Berg, #7 K. Schade, #8 M. Jensen, #9 I. Thiago, #18 Y. Yarmolyuk, #19 Dango Ouattara, #22 N. Collins, #23 Keane Lewis-Potter, #24 M. Damsgaard, #33 M. Kayode

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Hickey Brentford Сейвы 0

C. Kelleher Brentford football.player.assists 0

C. Kelleher Brentford Сейвы 2

C. Kelleher Brentford football.player.minutes_played 90

C. Kelleher Brentford Ключевые пасы 22

C. Kelleher Brentford Рейтинг 3

C. Kelleher Brentford Рейтинг (старый) 6.9

C. Kelleher Brentford Отборы всего 19

Dango Ouattara Brentford football.player.assists 0

Dango Ouattara Brentford Дриблинг попытки 4

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Manchester United 51.8% 48.3% market and model agree

Draw 24.5% 25.5% draw risk

Brentford 23.7% 26.2%

xG - 1.54 : 1.06

Total 2.5 Over 44.7% - Under 55.3%

Model check - - Difference 0.04

Market vs Glicko gap: 0.04

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 48.3% / 25.5% / 26.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,590 / 1,536 Manchester United / Brentford

RD 72 / 71 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.86 market consensus · no value · model 26.2%

X 3.80 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.85 market consensus · no value · model 48.3%

Double chance

X2 1.92 market consensus · no value · model 51.7%

12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 74.5%

1X 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 73.8%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.55 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.77 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.77 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · no value · model 44.7%

Under 2.5 2.39 market consensus · value +32.1% · model 55.3%

Both teams to score

No 2.41 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
П1	1.84 54.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%
Х	3.80 26.3%	4.01 24.9%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%
П2	3.75 26.7%	4.16 24.0%	3.80 26.3%	3.80 26.3%	4.00 25.0%	3.75 26.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.45 40.8%	2.40 41.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.55 39.2%	2.40 41.7%	2.36 42.4%	2.40 41.7%
yes	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.91 52.4%	2.00 50.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	2.00 50.0%	1.83 54.6%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	1.03 97.1%	1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.0	—	1.04 96.2%
ТБ 1.25	—	1.07 93.5%
ТБ 1.5	1.18 84.8%	1.15 87.0%
ТБ 1.75	—	1.18 84.8%
ТБ 2.0	—	1.23 81.3%
ТБ 2.25	—	1.40 71.4%
ТБ 2.5	1.57 63.7%	1.63 61.4%
ТБ 3.5	2.40 41.7%	—
ТБ 4.5	4.20 23.8%	—
ТМ 0.5	11.00 9.1%	—
ТМ 1.5	4.75 21.1%	—
ТМ 2.5	2.35 42.6%	—
ТМ 3.5	1.55 64.5%	—
ТМ 4.5	1.22 82.0%	—

Match center

Manchester United

Founded 1878

Brentford

Founded 1889

Match center

Manchester United

W L D W L

18.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:0 Chelsea

13.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:2 Leeds

20.03 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:2 Bournemouth

15.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 3:1 Aston Villa

04.03 20:15 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:2 Nyukasl

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Brentford

D D D D D

18.04 11:30 UTC Premier League

Brentford 0:0 Fulham

11.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 2:2 Everton

21.03 20:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 0:0 Leeds

16.03 20:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 2:2 Wolves

03.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Brentford 0:0 Bournemouth

0 Wins

5 Draws

0 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester United - Brentford

Manchester United

3 matches total

Brentford

Manchester United: 1 (33.3%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Brentford: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Brentford 1:3 (27.09 11:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 7 goals (3:4, 04.05 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

6 Goals scored 8

8 Goals conceded 6

Match history

27.09 11:30 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

1:3

Brentford

04.05 13:00 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

3:4

Brentford

19.10 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

2:1

Brentford

Match center

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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.