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Premier League England

20.09.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

20.09.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Manchester United - Chelsea

England Football

Manchester United

2 : 1

Finished

Chelsea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - Chelsea September 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.69 / X 3.69 / 2 2.52
1X2 market: Manchester United 35.8% / X 26.1% / Chelsea 38.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%

1 35.8%

X 26.1%

2 38.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%

Over 2.5 59.9%

Under 2.5 40.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.09.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

Manchester United - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.53 market consensus · line only

X 3.70 market consensus · line only

1 2.69 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.49 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.56 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.57 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.76 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.38 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.59 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.49 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.69 37.2%
X	3.74 26.7%
	2.58 38.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
	2.70 37.0%	2.76 36.2%	2.69 37.2%	2.69 37.2%	2.69 37.2%	2.62 38.2%
X	3.65 27.4%	3.85 26.0%	3.68 27.2%	3.74 26.7%	3.74 26.7%	3.50 28.6%
	2.51 39.8%	2.45 40.8%	2.52 39.7%	2.58 38.8%	2.58 38.8%	2.50 40.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.69 37.2%	2.54 39.4%	2.52 39.7%	2.69 37.2%	2.50 40.0%
yes	1.47 68.0%	1.52 65.8%	1.46 68.5%	1.51 66.2%	1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.48 67.6%	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.52 65.8%	1.44 69.4%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.31 76.3%	1.31 76.3%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.58 63.3%	1.56 64.1%	1.56 64.1%	1.56 64.1%	1.53 65.4%

Match center

Manchester United

L W D L W

14.09 15:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 0:3 Manchester City

30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 3:2 Burnley

24.08 15:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 Fulham

17.08 15:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 0:1 Arsenal

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:0 Aston Villa

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Chelsea

D W W D W

13.09 19:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:2 Brentford

30.08 11:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:0 Fulham

22.08 19:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 5:1 West Ham

17.08 13:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 0:0 Kristal Pelas

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:0 Nottingem Forest

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.6 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester United - Chelsea

Manchester United

1 matches total

Chelsea

Manchester United: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Chelsea: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Chelsea 0:1 (16.05 19:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 16.05 19:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

16.05 19:15 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

0:1

Chelsea