Premier League England

01.03.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

01.03.2026 14:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Manchester United - Crystal Palace

England Futbol

Manchester United

2 : 1

Finished

Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - Crystal Palace 1 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 4.44 / 2 6.06
1X2 market: Manchester United 62.8% / X 21.5% / Crystal Palace 15.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 62.9%

X 21.4%

2 15.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 58.0%

Under 2.5 42.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.03.2026 14:00 UTC

Match center

Manchester United - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.08 market consensus · line only

X 4.45 market consensus · line only

1 1.52 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.53 market consensus · line only

12 1.21 market consensus · line only

1X 1.14 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.57 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.02 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.30 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.06 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.52 65.8%
Х	4.53 22.1%
П2	6.41 15.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	1.51 66.2%	1.51 66.2%	1.56 64.1%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.57 63.7%
Х	4.20 23.8%	4.55 22.0%	4.66 21.5%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.50 22.2%
П2	5.90 17.0%	6.20 16.1%	6.30 15.9%	5.50 18.2%	6.00 16.7%	6.20 16.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.02 49.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.11 47.4%
yes	1.73 57.8%	1.78 56.2%	1.72 58.1%	1.67 59.9%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.45 40.8%	2.61 38.3%	2.45 40.8%	2.38 42.0%	2.52 39.7%	2.50 40.0%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.23 81.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.12 89.3%	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%	1.16 86.2%	1.10 90.9%

Match center

Manchester United

W D W W W

23.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:0 Everton

10.02 20:15 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 West Ham

07.02 12:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:0 Tottenkhem

01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 3:2 Fulham

25.01 16:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 3:2 Arsenal

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

13 Points

Crystal Palace

W L W D L

22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:0 Wolves

11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 2:3 Burnley

08.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:0 Brighton

01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingem Forest

25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:3 Chelsea

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester United - Crystal Palace

Manchester United

2 matches total

Crystal Palace

Manchester United: 1 (50%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Crystal Palace: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Manchester United 2:1 (30.11 12:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 30.11 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (21.09 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

30.11 12:00 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

2:1

Kristal Pelas

21.09 16:30 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

0:0

Kristal Pelas