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Premier League England

37 round 17.05.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction

17.05.2026 11:30 UTC 37 round

Finished

Premier League

Manchester United - Nottingham Forest

England Football

Manchester United

3 : 2

Finished

Nottingham Forest

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - Nottingham Forest May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 4.28 / 2 5.00
1X2 market: Manchester United 58.7% / X 22.3% / Nottingham Forest 19.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 62.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 58.7%

X 22.2%

2 19.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%

Over 2.5 62.0%

Under 2.5 38.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Manchester United

Main outcome Manchester United

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Stadium Old Trafford (Manchester, England), vmestimost: 76212

Referee Maykl Solsberi

Start 17.05.2026 11:30 UTC

Match center

Manchester United - Nottingham Forest

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Manchester Yunayted - Nottingem Forest, 17 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. APL 2025-2026 — Championship England po futbolu, 37 round. Manchester Yunayted - Nottingem Forest, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 3:2

Events 17

Statistics 22

Lineups 40

min Event Player Team

5' 5' Normal Goal | L. Shaw L. Shaw Manchester United

53' 53' Normal Goal | Morato | assist/sub out: E. Anderson Morato Nottingham Forest

55' 55' Normal Goal | M. Cunha M. Cunha Manchester United

57' 57' Goal confirmed | M. Cunha M. Cunha Manchester United

70' 70' Substitution 4 | C. Wood | assist/sub out: T. Awoniyi C. Wood Nottingham Forest

70' 70' Substitution 5 | N. Dominguez | assist/sub out: I. Sangare Nicolás Domínguez Nottingham Forest

70' 70' Substitution 3 | O. Hutchinson | assist/sub out: D. Bakwa Omari Hutchinson Nottingham Forest

76' 76' Normal Goal | B. Mbeumo | assist/sub out: B. Fernandes B. Mbeumo Manchester United

Metric Manchester United Nottingham Forest SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 4.57 1.88 final

Zablokirovannye udary 12 3 final

Shots off target 9 4 final

Shots on target 8 4 final

Udary vsego 29 11 final

Fouls soversheno 11 5 final

Zheltye kartochki 2 1 final

Offsides 0 1 final

Manchester United #10 M. Cunha, #19 B. Mbeumo, #23 L. Shaw, #31 S. Lammens, #37 K. Mainoo, #6 L. Martinez, #8 B. Fernandes, #18 Casemiro, #5 H. Maguire, #16 A. Diallo, #2 D. Dalot

Nottingham Forest #10 Morgan Gibbs-White, #11 C. Wood, #25 Luca Netz, #26 M. Sels, #4 Morato, #8 E. Anderson, #19 Igor Jesus, #16 Nicolás Domínguez, #31 N. Milenkovic, #3 N. Williams, #21 Omari Hutchinson

Player Team Metric SStats

C. Wood Nottingham Forest football.player.assists 0

C. Wood Nottingham Forest football.player.minutes_played 70

D. Bakwa Nottingham Forest football.player.assists 0

D. Bakwa Nottingham Forest football.player.minutes_played 20

E. Anderson Nottingham Forest football.player.assists 2

E. Anderson Nottingham Forest football.player.minutes_played 90

I. Sangaré Nottingham Forest football.player.assists 0

I. Sangaré Nottingham Forest football.player.minutes_played 20

Igor Jesus Nottingham Forest football.player.assists 0

Igor Jesus Nottingham Forest football.player.minutes_played 84

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.00 market consensus · line only

X 4.28 market consensus · line only

1 1.62 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.31 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 1.17 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.35 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.83 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.63 market consensus · line only

2 +1 8.90 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.48 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.31 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.59 62.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%
X	4.20 23.8%	4.46 22.4%	4.00 25.0%	4.33 23.1%	4.50 22.2%	4.33 23.1%
	4.90 20.4%	5.23 19.1%	4.80 20.8%	5.00 20.0%	5.20 19.2%	5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.35 42.6%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.30 43.5%
yes	1.55 64.5%	1.56 64.1%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.56 64.1%	1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.30 43.5%	2.35 42.6%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.35 42.6%	2.25 44.4%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.15 87.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.03 97.1%	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25	—	1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5	1.17 85.5%	1.12 89.3%
Over 1.75	—	1.16 86.2%
Over 2.0	—	1.19 84.0%
Over 2.5	1.50 66.7%	—
Over 3.5	2.25 44.4%	—
Over 4.5	3.85 26.0%	—
Over 5.5	7.00 14.3%	—
Under 0.5	11.00 9.1%	—
Under 1.5	5.00 20.0%	—
Under 2.5	2.50 40.0%	—
Under 3.5	1.62 61.7%	—
Under 4.5	1.25 80.0%	—
Under 5.5	1.09 91.7%	—

Match center

Manchester United

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Nottingham Forest

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Matteys Nikolo Savona Kallum Khadson-Odoi Villi Boli Ola Ayna Murillo

Match center

Manchester United

D W W W L

09.05 14:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 0:0 Sunderland

03.05 14:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 3:2 Liverpul

27.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:1 Brentford

18.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:0 Chelsea

13.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:2 Leeds

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.0 Conceded

10 Points

Nottingham Forest

D W W W D

10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1:1 Nyukasl

04.05 14:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 3:1 Chelsea

24.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 5:0 Sunderland

19.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 4:1 Burnley

12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1:1 Aston Villa

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester United - Nottingham Forest

Manchester United

2 matches total

Nottingham Forest

Manchester United: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Nottingham Forest: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Nottingem Forest 0:1 (01.04 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 01.11 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (01.11 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

01.11 15:00 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

2:2

Nottingem Forest

01.04 19:00 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

0:1

Nottingem Forest

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Manchester United

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Nottingham Forest

36 Games 36

18 Wins 11

11 Draws 10

7 Losses 15

63 Scored 45

48 Conceded 47

65 Points 43

97.86 Attacks 90.85

47.26 Dangerous attacks 50.61

0 Big chances 0

15.5 Shots on goal 12.44

5.56 Shots on target 4.08

prezhdeniya 1.61 0.08 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Lyuk Shou 1:0 5' Morato Elliot Anderson 1 53' Mateus Kunya 2:1 55' Brayan Mbemo Brunu Fernandesh 3:1 76' Morgan Gibbs-Uayt Elliot Anderson 3:2 78' Nakazaniya Kazemiro 78' Lyuk Shou 90+3' Elliot Anderson 90+4'

Manchester Yunayted Nottingem Forest 36 Games 36 18 Wins 11 Draws 10 7 Losses 15 63 Scored 45 48 Conceded 47 65 Points 43 97.86 Attacks 90.85 47.26 Dangerous attacks 50.61 0 Big chances 0 15.5 Shots on goal 12.44 5.56 Udary v stvor 4.08 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.75 Uglovye 5.17 1.44 Offsaydy 1.58 10.31 Foly 10.83 52.06 % vladeniya myachom 46.64 1.69 Warnings 1.61 0.08 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Lyuk Shou 1:0 5' Morato Elliot Anderson 1 53' Mateus Kunya 2:1 55' Brayan Mbemo Brunu Fernandesh 3:1 76' Morgan Gibbs-Uayt Elliot Anderson 3:2 78' Nakazaniya Kazemiro 78' Lyuk Shou 90+3' Elliot Anderson 90+4'