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Premier League England

04.10.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction

04.10.2025 14:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Manchester United - Sunderland

England Football

Manchester United

2 : 0

Finished

Sunderland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - Sunderland October 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / X 4.33 / 2 5.58
1X2 market: Manchester United 60.7% / X 22.1% / Sunderland 17.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 56.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%

1 60.7%

X 22.1%

2 17.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%

Over 2.5 55.9%

Under 2.5 44.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 04.10.2025 14:00 UTC

Match center

Manchester United - Sunderland

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.57 market consensus · line only

X 4.32 market consensus · line only

1 1.58 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.41 market consensus · line only

12 1.22 market consensus · line only

1X 1.16 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.95 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.01 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.62 61.7%
X	4.27 23.4%
	5.45 18.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.58 63.3%	1.51 66.2%	1.54 64.9%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.65 60.6%
X	4.20 23.8%	4.65 21.5%	4.70 21.3%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.30 23.3%
	5.30 18.9%	6.10 16.4%	6.48 15.4%	5.50 18.2%	5.25 19.1%	5.30 18.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	1.97 50.8%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	1.99 50.3%	2.08 48.1%
yes	1.73 57.8%	1.84 54.4%	1.76 56.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.30 43.5%	2.65 37.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.49 40.2%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.23 81.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.23 81.3%	1.24 80.7%
home_draw	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.16 86.2%

Match center

Manchester United

L W L W D

27.09 11:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:3 Brentford

20.09 16:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:1 Chelsea

14.09 15:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 0:3 Manchester City

30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 3:2 Burnley

24.08 15:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 Fulham

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

2.0 Conceded

7 Points

Sunderland

W D D W L

27.09 16:30 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 1:0 Nottingem Forest

21.09 13:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 1:1 Aston Villa

13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 0:0 Kristal Pelas

30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 2:1 Brentford

23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 0:2 Burnley

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester United - Sunderland

Manchester United

0 matches total

Sunderland

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Manchester United - Sunderland

AI match prediction Manchester United - Sunderland October 4, 2025

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Manchester United - Sunderland

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Market 1

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Match history