Premier League
Premier League England
19.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Newcastle - Brighton

England Futbol
Newcastle
Newcastle
0 : 1
Finished
Brighton
Brighton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle - Brighton 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.71 / X 4.14 / 2 4.85
  • 1X2 market: Newcastle 56.6% / X 23.4% / Brighton 20.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 56.6%
X 23.4%
2 20.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Newcastle - Brighton

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.85 market consensus · line only
X 4.14 market consensus · line only
1 1.71 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.71 58.5%
Х 4.14 24.2%
П2 4.85 20.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.24 44.6%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.32 43.1%
ТМ 3.5 1.66 60.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.31 76.3%
П2 3.70 27.0%
Match center
Newcastle
D D L W W
05.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 0:0 EvertonEverton
28.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:3 FulhamFulham
15.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:1 WolvesWolves
01.09 12:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Brighton
W L D D
06.10 15:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:4 ChelseaChelsea
22.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:2 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:0 IpswichIpswich
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Brighton

Newcastle
0 matches total
Brighton
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history