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Premier League England

11.05.2025 11:00 UTC Match prediction

11.05.2025 11:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Newcastle - Chelsea

England Football

Newcastle

2 : 0

Finished

Chelsea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle - Chelsea May 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.75 / 2 3.06
1X2 market: Newcastle 42.3% / X 25.9% / Chelsea 31.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%

1 42.3%

X 25.9%

2 31.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 11.05.2025 11:00 UTC

Match center

Newcastle - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.06 market consensus · line only

X 3.75 market consensus · line only

1 2.30 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.68 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.42 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.30 43.5%
X	3.75 26.7%
	3.06 32.7%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.68 59.5%
home_away	1.31 76.3%
home_draw	1.42 70.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
Over 3.5	2.41 41.5%
Under 3.5	1.61 62.1%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.69 59.2%
	2.25 44.4%

Match center

Newcastle

D W L W W

04.05 13:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 1:1 Brighton

26.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 3:0 Ipswich

19.04 16:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 1:4 Aston Villa

16.04 18:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 5:0 Kristal Pelas

13.04 15:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 4:1 Manchester United

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

10 Points

Chelsea

W W W D D

04.05 15:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 3:1 Liverpul

26.04 11:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:0 Everton

20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:1 Fulham

13.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:2 Ipswich

06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 0:0 Brentford

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.8 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Chelsea

Newcastle

1 matches total

Chelsea

Newcastle: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Chelsea: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Chelsea 1:2 (27.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 27.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

27.10 13:00 UTC

Premier League

Nyukasl

1:2

Chelsea