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Premier League England

20.12.2025 12:30 UTC Match prediction

20.12.2025 12:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Newcastle - Chelsea

England Football

Newcastle

2 : 2

Finished

Chelsea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle - Chelsea December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 3.49 / 2 2.50
1X2 market: Newcastle 34.4% / X 27.3% / Chelsea 38.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 34.4%

X 27.4%

2 38.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%

Over 2.5 57.4%

Under 2.5 42.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.12.2025 12:30 UTC

Match center

Newcastle - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.50 market consensus · line only

X 3.50 market consensus · line only

1 2.78 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.45 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.55 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.44 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.99 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.46 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.52 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.88 34.7%
X	3.56 28.1%
	2.51 39.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.68 37.3%	2.75 36.4%	2.87 34.8%	2.70 37.0%	2.70 37.0%	2.77 36.1%
X	3.45 29.0%	3.65 27.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.45 29.0%
	2.52 39.7%	2.47 40.5%	2.57 38.9%	2.50 40.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.50 40.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.45 40.8%	2.49 40.2%	2.69 37.2%	2.30 43.5%	2.38 42.0%	2.42 41.3%	2.38 42.0%	2.65 37.7%	2.55 39.2%
yes	1.50 66.7%	1.54 64.9%	1.42 70.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.52 65.8%	1.53 65.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.45 69.0%	1.48 67.6%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.47 68.0%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.50 66.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%

Match center

Newcastle

L W D W W

14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:1 Sunderland

06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:1 Burnley

02.12 20:15 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:2 Tottenkhem

29.11 17:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 4:1 Everton

22.11 17:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:1 Manchester City

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

10 Points

Chelsea

W D L D W

13.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:0 Everton

06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 0:0 Bournemouth

03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:3 Leeds

30.11 16:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:1 Arsenal

22.11 12:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:0 Burnley

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Chelsea

Newcastle

2 matches total

Chelsea

Newcastle: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Chelsea: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Nyukasl 2:0 (11.05 11:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 27.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

11.05 11:00 UTC

Premier League

Nyukasl

2:0

Chelsea

27.10 13:00 UTC

Premier League

Nyukasl

1:2

Chelsea